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Jason Van Steenwyk
Jason Van Steenwyk

Apr 27, 2026

Bank Earnings Are In. Here's What They're Actually Telling Us.

Goldman just posted one of its best quarters ever. JPMorgan reports today. Here's why that matters beyond the headlines.

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What Bank Earnings Actually Tell Us

Every quarter, the biggest banks in the country report their results, and every quarter, the coverage sounds roughly the same: beat expectations, stock moves, analysts react. Most readers tune it out.

That's worth reconsidering. Because bank earnings aren't just a corporate scoreboard. They're one of the clearest windows we have into how the whole financial system is actually functioning right now. And what this week's numbers are showing is genuinely interesting.

What Just Came In

Goldman Sachs kicked off earnings season on Monday with one of the strongest quarters in the firm's history. Revenue hit $17.23 billion, up 14% from a year ago. Profit climbed 19% to $5.63 billion. Earnings per share came in at $17.55, the second-highest Goldman has ever reported in a single quarter. (Goldman Sachs, CNBC)

The headline driver was trading. Goldman's equities desk brought in $5.33 billion, a record quarter, up 27% from a year ago. Investment banking fees jumped 48%, driven by a surge in merger advisory work. The firm's M&A backlog is at its highest level in four years.

JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo all report today. Morgan Stanley and Bank of America follow tomorrow.

Elon’s BIGGEST Crisis Yet?

I just read the most ridiculous headline of my career:

"Will the meme stock that started meme stocks survive under this onslaught?"

Are you kidding me? Tesla... a "meme stock?"

The company that revolutionized electric vehicles... built the world's most advanced AI... and is worth over $800 billion... is a MEME STOCK?

This is exactly why I stopped reading the mainstream financial press years ago.

They called Tesla "a fraud" when I recommended it in 2018.

They said it was "going bankrupt" when it hit $100... "overvalued" at $200... "a bubble" at $300...

And now, even after my Tesla call proved them wrong with a 2,150% gain, they're STILL calling it a meme stock.

But here's what these so-called "experts" don't understand about Elon...

He's faced crisis after crisis and turned each one into his greatest triumph yet.

When Tesla was weeks from bankruptcy in 2018, he solved "production hell" and built the Model 3.

When experts said EV batteries would never last, he developed the now legendary million-mile battery.

When NASA said reusable rockets were impossible, he made SpaceX land them on their tails to cut rocket costs by as much as 90%!

And now, while the media obsesses over Tesla’s car sales and political drama…

They’re missing the big picture yet again…

As Elon is on the verge of solving Tesla’s biggest challenge yet by taking AI out of computer screens and manifesting a 25,000% AI boom, HERE in the real world.

The best part?

I've found the tiny little-known stock — that’s currently 168 times smaller than Nvidia — that makes it all possible.

Go here now to see all the details before it's too late

Why Chaos Is Good for Trading Desks

Here's the part that surprises people. The Iran war, the energy shock, the market volatility, the uncertainty around the Fed, all of that turmoil that's been unsettling for most people? For trading desks at big banks, it was fuel.

When markets are moving fast and investors are scrambling to reposition, they need someone on the other side of every trade. That's the big banks. Goldman said directly that elevated uncertainty drove clients to actively reposition portfolios, which pushed strong flows across their trading operations. More volatility means more volume, and more volume means more revenue. (Goldman Sachs earnings call)

This is one of those counterintuitive things about how the financial system works. The same conditions that made the first quarter uncomfortable for most people created a near-perfect environment for Wall Street trading desks.

What the Lending Numbers Will Tell Us

Trading is Goldman's story. But JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America are a different kind of institution, ones where lending is the core business. And that's where the really useful signal is.

Loan growth across the entire banking industry rose about 7% in the first quarter, accelerating a trend that started picking up in 2025. That matters because lending is how banks transmit credit conditions into the real economy. When loan growth picks up, it means businesses and consumers are borrowing more, which generally signals confidence in the environment ahead. When it slows or reverses, it signals the opposite. (Federal Reserve aggregate data)

With rates sitting at 3.5% to 3.75% and no cuts looking imminent, banks are also earning more on the money they lend out. The gap between what they pay depositors and what they charge borrowers, called net interest margin, has stayed wide. That's a direct product of the current rate environment, and it's been one of the more underappreciated drivers of bank profitability over the past year.

The Bigger Picture

Here's the takeaway that actually matters.

When big banks are reporting strong trading revenue, rising loan growth, and healthy margins all at the same time, it tells you the financial system is absorbing the current environment rather than cracking under it. The Iran war rattled markets. Inflation spiked. The Fed stayed frozen. And yet the plumbing of the financial system kept moving.

That doesn't mean everything is fine. Credit card delinquency rates and loan loss provisions in JPMorgan's report today will say a lot about whether consumers are starting to strain under higher costs. If those numbers come in elevated, it's an early signal that the pressure is building in places that don't show up in trading revenue.

But the broad picture from what we have so far is this: the financial system is functioning, capital is moving, and institutions are finding ways to be profitable in an environment that felt pretty chaotic from the outside. That's a meaningful data point about where conditions actually stand, not where headlines say they do.

Until next time,

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